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    Rubber products industry is the traditional basic industry, its growth in general will be subject to greater restrictions on the production of raw materials, rubber, rubber and natural rubber production will not have a great mutation, synthetic rubber production in recent years there is no leap-forward progress Appears, so the development of rubber products industry will be relatively stable. Rubber products are modern industrial products, for the modern industrial system is indispensable, with the development of modern science, its use extended to the various sectors of the national economy. Its future development in the long run will appear to show a steady growth trend.


    From 2004 to 2007, the rubber products industry in the national economy in the steady and steady increase in the proportion of industry output value of GDP increased from 1.14% to 1.39%, an increase of about 0.2 percentage points, but in 2008 the proportion of 2007 decreased by 0.02% This is mainly due to the macroeconomic environment with the deterioration of the economic crisis, but in the long run, the rubber products industry in the national economy plays an important role, its status will not waver, the future rubber products industry in the national economy Will still be improved.


    Source: National Bureau of Statistics


    Second, the industry investment analysis


    Since 2004, the investment in rubber products industry all the way up investment growth rate in 2005, 2006, more than 30% in 2007, by the country to achieve "energy-saving emission reduction" as the goal of the macro-control policy environment, The rate dropped to 17.41%, did not form too much investment bubble, so the national macro-control investment overheating initiatives did not affect the development of rubber products industry, investment growth in 2008 steadily rose to 22.01%.


    Third, the industry supply and demand analysis


    Since 2004, the rubber industry industrial output value continued to rise, but the growth rate of volatility. In 2005, the industrial output growth rate of the industry declined, but soon began to pick up in 2006 and in 2007. From January to November 2008, China's rubber products industry over the scale of industrial output value of 378.85 billion yuan, an increase of 22.6% over the same period last year, the growth rate than the end of 2007 fell about 4.5 percentage points.


    Since 2003, China's rubber products industry sales growth has remained at 20% or more, although every year ups and downs, but the basic trend remains unchanged. As can be seen from the figure below, in 2004 the sales volume of rubber products industry growth rate reached 31.69%, but after the overall decline all the way. To 2007 a slight rebound, to 28.41%. From January to November 2008, China's rubber products industry above-scale enterprises accumulated sales revenue of 365.447 billion yuan, an increase of 21.03 percentage points over the same period last year, the growth rate over the same period in 2007 fell about 7.4 percentage points. Growth rate fell to five years since the lowest point.


    Sales of Rubber Products in 2004-2008


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    Fourth, industry import and export analysis


    (A) import analysis


    China's rubber products import and export in general for a substantial increase year by year. 2004 imports are still greater than the export volume, by 2005 this situation reversed. Exports in 2006 and 2007 increased significantly year after year, and in 2008, the overall economic situation was affected and the growth rate slowed down. Imports fell to the bottom in 2006, to 2008 has not yet returned to the peak in 2005. By 2008, imports accounted for only 12.42% of total imports and exports, exports accounted for more than imports dominate. In 2008, the total import and export volume rose rapidly to its all-time high in January-July, and fell sharply after reaching its peak in July 2008, but it rebounded again in December 2008. The total import and export volume remained unchanged year on year. In 2007, China's total imports and exports of rubber products 35.74 billion US dollars, an increase of 19.6%. Imports of 3.95 billion US dollars, an increase of 17.5%. Exports of 31.79 billion US dollars, an increase of 19.9%. Trade surplus of 27.85 billion US dollars, an increase of 20.2%. From the import of the product structure, the largest imports of other rubber products, close to 70% of all imports of rubber products. Followed by rubber shoes, hoses, new inflatable rubber tires and so on. Most of China's technology is less than the high-tech, high value-added products.


    (B) export analysis


    China's rubber industry is now the world's largest rubber consumer and the largest production of rubber products, rubber, rubber, rubber, rubber, rubber, rubber, rubber, rubber, rubber, rubber, Country, but also the largest exporter of rubber products. In 2007, China's rubber products exports 31.79 billion US dollars. Of which 326 million export tires, 7.1 billion US dollars accounted for 22.34% of rubber exports; year on year growth of 22.7%, respectively, 38.5%. Exports 309,900 inner tubes, exports 350 million US dollars, an increase of 19.4%, respectively, 37.9%. Tape exports amounted to 370 million US dollars, an increase of 43.6%. Hose exports amounted to $ 270 million, an increase of 54.7%. Rubber gloves 320 million US dollars, an increase of 29.2%. Rubber shoes exports 730 million pairs, exports 21.79 billion US dollars, accounting for 68.53% of rubber exports; an increase of 5.3%, respectively, 13.4%. From China's exports of rubber products, product structure, the export volume is relatively high concentration. Exports accounted for the highest proportion of rubber shoes, rubber products to reach nearly 70% of exports, down is the new inflatable rubber tires, accounting for 22.34%.


    Fifth, the industry regional analysis


    Rubber technology consulting network for the majority of rubber industry friends to provide rubber technology, rubber price information, rubber materials exchange learning exchange platform. We strive to build a rubber company's favorite rubber technology information exchange platform. From the scale of the indicators to divide, China's various regions of the rubber products industry can be divided into three echelons, the first echelon is the East China region, the second echelon is the north and south of the region, the third echelon is the northeast, southwest and northwest regions.


    From the perspective of the number distribution of enterprises, the East China region is the main distribution area of ​​rubber products enterprises in China. In 2008, the number of rubber products enterprises in east China accounted for 57.42% of the whole country. The second is the regional areas of Central and South China, North China, Northeast China, Southwest China and North-west region. Corresponding to the number distribution of enterprises, China's rubber products industry sales revenue distribution is mainly concentrated in the East China region, and more than the proportion of its business, accounting for the national rubber products industry sales revenue of 66.51%. The proportion of the income of the rubber products industry in the northwest region is declining, while the proportion of sales income in other regions is also the same as the number of enterprises. In 2008, the operating environment of the rubber products industry deteriorated, and the number of loss-making enterprises increased significantly. The number of loss-making enterprises increased by about 90% over the same period of last year. From the number of loss-making enterprises in each region, there was no significant change in the number of loss-making enterprises in the northeastern region in 2008, and the number of loss-making enterprises in the northwest region decreased and the number of loss-making enterprises in the remaining regions increased. From the loss of the number of enterprises accounted for, the number of loss-taking enterprises in East China also accounted for a large proportion of the country, and an upward trend, but still significantly lower than the number of enterprises in the country's proportion. While other regions, since 2004, the southwest region of this index fell, while the South China region rose. Regional enterprises in the loss rate, the highest in the south and northwest regions, the lowest in east and southwest. Southwest and Northeast China gradually improved over the past five years, the loss rate decreased significantly, respectively, down 11 percentage points and 4 percentage points. The Northwest region also declined by 9 percentage points in 2008 compared to the peak in 2006. Rubber technology consulting network for the majority of rubber industry friends to provide rubber technology, rubber price information, rubber materials exchange learning exchange platform. We strive to build a rubber company's favorite rubber technology information exchange platform.


    Six, sub-industry analysis


    Rubber products industry is divided into seven secondary sub-sectors: tire manufacturing, rubber sheet, tube, belt manufacturing, rubber parts manufacturing, recycled rubber manufacturing, daily and medical rubber products manufacturing, rubber boots manufacturing And other rubber products manufacturing industry.


    In terms of assets, tire manufacturing accounted for 60.64% of the whole industry, occupying the main position. So some statistics of the rubber products industry is divided into tire manufacturing and non-tire rubber products manufacturing two categories. Rubber sheet, tube, belt manufacturing and rubber parts manufacturing industry accounted for close to 10%, rubber boots manufacturing and other rubber products manufacturing accounted for more than 7%, belonging to the second echelon. Daily and medical rubber products manufacturing and recycled rubber manufacturing accounted for the smallest proportion. Tire manufacturing industry accounted for 33.15% of employees, the number of enterprises accounted for 13.89%, reflecting the sub-industry labor productivity is high, large-scale enterprises. And relatively speaking, rubber shoes manufacturing assets accounted for only 7.03% and practitioners accounted for 21.91%, is the highest labor-intensive sub-sectors. The fastest growth rate is the renewable rubber manufacturing industry, indicating that its emphasis on energy conservation and environmental protection in the country under the influence of the policy developed in recent years soon. The expansion rate of recycled rubber manufacturing, rubber sheet, pipe and belt manufacturing industry was significantly higher than that of industry average, rubber parts manufacturing industry, daily and medical rubber products manufacturing industry, rubber shoe manufacturing industry expansion rate was significantly lower than the industry average.


    (A) tire manufacturing industry analysis


    China's tire industry has gradually developed and become the world's tire industry plays a decisive role in the world have a certain status and influence, initially with the conditions to the tire power. As of November 2008, China's tire manufacturing industry, the number of enterprises reached 541, the number of employees reached 290,000 people. Asset size reached 185.284 billion yuan, up 17.8% over the same period last year, the growth rate down 2.3 percentage points over the same period last year; liabilities reached 1119.24 billion yuan, an increase of 21.85% over the same period last year, an increase of 5.7 over the same period last year percentage point. Rubber technology consulting network for the majority of rubber industry friends to provide rubber technology, rubber price information, rubber materials exchange learning exchange platform. We strive to build a rubber company's favorite rubber technology information exchange platform.


    In 2008, the tire industry as a whole grew faster than GDP. Tire business profitability decreased slightly, the development capacity decreased significantly. The first half of 2008, energy-saving emission reduction and rising costs to promote the industry tire prices. In the second half, demand fell sharply, the profit was negative, but the tire price because of business inventories and no significant price cuts.


    From the second half of 2007, the intensity of pollution remediation began to increase. Tire enterprises because of large enterprises more, this area is relatively strong, most of the previous two years after the technological transformation can be achieved, so the tire industry did not have much impact, mainly affecting some small businesses.


    Since 2008, China's tire industry and other industries are facing the same complex and severe domestic and international market situation challenges. On the one hand the main raw materials for tire production include natural rubber, synthetic rubber, carbon black, steel cord and other prices rose more than 20% on average. On the other hand, the state macroeconomic regulation and control introduced a series of policies, such as from the tight currency, the appreciation of the renminbi, the new implementation of the "Labor Contract Law" and reduce tire export tax rebate, plus the beginning of the southern snowstorm, 5 • 12 Wenchuan earthquake, the Beijing Olympic Games Adjust the transportation, etc., so that the tire market has changed; there are foreign exports of China's anti-dumping tires, tire exports have been affected. The above factors led to a sharp rise in production and operation costs of tire enterprises, economic decline. Although production and sales continue to grow year on year, profits are negative growth. China's rubber sheet, tube, belt manufacturing industry has played an indispensable role in the national economy, with the improvement of China's mechanization and the application of new materials, rubber sheet, tube, belt manufacturing industry and the relevant areas continue to penetrate, Rubber sheet, tube, belt and application areas and areas. As of November 2008, China's rubber sheet, pipe, with the number of manufacturing enterprises to 469, employing 114,000 people. Asset size reached 30.139 billion yuan, an increase of 20.41%, the growth rate over the same period last year increased by about 6.3 percentage points; liabilities of 15.737 billion yuan, an increase of 14.65%, the growth rate over the same period last year increased by 3.1 percentage points. Since 2008, China's economy began to slow down. With the rubber plate, tube, with the product related to the steel industry by a number of uncertain factors at home and abroad, the release of steel production capacity has been severely constrained, resulting in the steel industry in 2008 the first three quarters of demand growth slowed down; cost pressures increased sharply A slight easing; steel prices first Yang later; industry profit higher down, the industry boom has declined. Due to the decline in demand for steel products in major downstream sectors, steel demand growth declined significantly in 2009. Rubber hose from the industry point of view, by the market, raw material prices and domestic and international economic downturn, the impact of rubber products, a sharp decline in production. Hose tape industry, the main economic indicators in the expansion of the statistics of 15 enterprises in the case of the level of growth is still showing a downward trend. From January to September 2009, the total industrial output value of 65 enterprises increased by 35.97% from January to September, and the total industrial output value of 80 enterprises increased by 25.32% and 10.65 percentage points respectively from January to September 2008. From January to September 2007, Conveyor belt production increased by 38. 56%, from January to September 2008, an increase of 23.23%, down 15.33 percentage points, which is enough to explain the extent of hose hose industry slipped.


    (C) rubber parts manufacturing industry analysis Rubber technology consulting network for the majority of rubber industry friends to provide rubber technology, rubber price information, rubber